Forecasting
YB

Yummy Bowl · Walk-forward: the number for any given day is fitted only on data before it. 274 days replayed since 2025-12-01, refitting weekly.

Next Seven Days

2026-08-24 → 2026-08-30

Servings next week

2,257 servings

same-weekday average says 2459

Busiest day

Tue · 427

Quietest：Sun · 115

Error vs. their method

−13%

WAPE 36.4% vs 42%

Why Each Day Differs

net effect of each factor against an ordinary day — this is the sentence a black box cannot give you

Mon08-24

366 servings

28°C
Day of week +21%Temperature +5%Trend -4%

Tue08-25

427 servings

33°C
Day of week +37%Temperature +9%Trend -4%

Wed08-26

406 servings

25°C
Day of week +38%Trend -4%Temperature +2%

Thu08-27

395 servings

22°C
Day of week +38%Trend -4%

Fri08-28

397 servings

29°C
Day of week +31%Temperature +6%Trend -4%

Sat08-29

150 servings

23°C
Day of week -48%Trend -4%

Sun08-30

115 servings

21°C
Day of week -59%Trend -5%
Per-dish Forecast
DishNext 7 daysAvg / day
Teriyaki Chicken BowlBowls23333.3
Grilled Chicken & Avocado BowlBowls18025.7
Chicken Caesar SaladSalads17625.1
Falafel & Hummus BowlBowls13218.8
Chicken Caesar WrapWraps13018.6
Chipotle Pork BowlBowls12617.9
Braised Beef BowlBowls12517.8
Spicy Shrimp BowlBowls10715.3
Kale & Quinoa SaladSalads10114.5
Cobb SaladSalads10114.5
Tofu & Roasted Veg BowlBowls9613.7
Falafel WrapWraps9213.2
Sweet Potato FriesSides9213.2
Salmon Poke BowlBowls8912.7
Soup of the DaySides8612.3
Greek SaladSalads8512.1
Seasonal SaladSalads7210.3
Fresh LemonadeDrinks659.3
Iced TeaDrinks608.5
Bottled DrinksDrinks557.9
Hummus & PitaSides547.7
Ingredient Requirement

forecast × recipe, prep items traced through to raw material

IngredientNeededUsed in
Napkin4067.9sheetTeriyaki Chicken Bowl, Grilled Chicken & Avocado Bowl +16 more
Lid1833eaTeriyaki Chicken Bowl, Grilled Chicken & Avocado Bowl +14 more
Bowl1768.3eaTeriyaki Chicken Bowl, Grilled Chicken & Avocado Bowl +13 more
Cutlery set1622.3setTeriyaki Chicken Bowl, Grilled Chicken & Avocado Bowl +11 more
Tortilla wrap222.7sheetChicken Caesar Wrap, Falafel Wrap
Takeout bag222.7eaChicken Caesar Wrap, Falafel Wrap
Cup210.7eaSoup of the Day, Fresh Lemonade +1 more
Romaine lettuce139.9kgTeriyaki Chicken Bowl, Grilled Chicken & Avocado Bowl +8 more
Pita bread139.3sheetGreek Salad, Soup of the Day +1 more
Chicken breast85.7kgGrilled Chicken & Avocado Bowl, Chicken Caesar Salad +2 more
Brown rice72.6kgTeriyaki Chicken Bowl, Grilled Chicken & Avocado Bowl +4 more
Tomato43.5kgTeriyaki Chicken Bowl, Grilled Chicken & Avocado Bowl +8 more
Chicken thigh41.8kgTeriyaki Chicken Bowl
Kale31.6kgTofu & Roasted Veg Bowl, Kale & Quinoa Salad +1 more

Demand is a multiplicative decomposition over day-of-week, trend, holiday, weather and platform promos, fitted by weighted least squares with censored-day recovery. Prep items are traced through the prep BOM, so what you see is a purchase quantity, not a finished-food quantity.